Margin and Bookmaker (Book Margin)

What is Draw Balance and how can it be used

The "Draw Balance" is our proprietary indicator that highlights when the probability of a draw ( draw ) offered by bookmakers is lower than the statistical probability. This situation can occur for various reasons such as unbalanced odds on victory or defeat or bettors' perception of the competing teams. This circumstance depends on the flow of money arriving on bets for that particular match. Our algorithm takes into account odds , Asian handicaps , spread changes and other odds-related factors. The value of the draw balance varies depending on the parameters mentioned above. It is suggested to monitor the numerical trend of the draw balance and enter according to the strategies proposed in the initial table. Here's how you can use Draw Balance for prematch or live trading :

• • Identifying Matches with a Certain Draw Balance Value: You should look for matches where the market seems to underestimate the probability of a draw. This can be done by comparing the odds offered by bookmakers with estimated odds based on statistical analysis.
• • Statistical Analysis : Uses historical data to determine the actual probability of a draw for those specific teams and for the head-to-head match (H2H).
• • Trading opportunities, monitor odds in real time and place bets quickly.

Draw Balance table

• • Very High (>10%) : A value greater than 10 suggests that the breakeven is highly overvalued by the market. The suggested strategy is to lay the draw (bet against the draw) live using the ScoreTrend and Goal trend graphs. Suggested entry minute after the 60th minute. Everyone, based on their experience, risk propensity and study of statistics and data, can decide on another type of entry.
• • High (5% - 10%): A value in this range indicates that the breakeven may be overvalued, but with a greater risk than the previous condition. It may be appropriate to bank the breakeven with stakes reduced by 50% compared to your money management.
• • Moderate (1% - 5%): In this range, the market is relatively balanced. This indicator does not give a precise input signal and must be based on other factors. It is suggested to follow the match live and lay the draw if the conditions arise.
• • Negative (< -1% ): If the draw balance is negative, it means that the breakeven is undervalued by the market and that the odds of the breakeven are higher than the estimated probabilities. It is advisable to carry out pre -match trading on the draw for matches of the main series (which are found in exchange ). This indicator with negative values gives incredible results on pre -match trading. Ties generally break almost all before the start of the match. You can bet on the pre -match draw ( 3-5 days before the start ) and exit before the start of the match by cashing out. There must be a good level of volumes traded. It is advisable to analyze the entry range in the bet above all by placing a few ticks above the latest trades. In some cases you could follow the same strategy in live or aim for a draw and in case the match is uncontested GT < 60 remain on the market and then cash out.

You can select the matches that are about to start in the next: 15,30,45 and 60 minutes.

By clicking on the

Spread : difference between opening handicap and current handicap. It is of fundamental importance to understand the progress of the match. By our convention it is positive if it is to the advantage of the favorite team, negative on the contrary if it is lost by the favorite team (you must pay attention to the prediction with loss of spread). If there is a forecast with purchase of spread (positive) the signal is significantly stronger and more valid than the same one with loss of spread (negative).

If it is colored blue there has been a change in the spread in favor of the home team (home team color by Scoretrend).

If it is red it means that there has been a change in the spread in favor of the team playing away.

Example: if opening handicap is -1.5 and current -1.25 there will be a spread of -0.25 as the favorite team playing at home has lost a 0.25 handicap.

On the contrary, if the opening handicap is +0.50 and the current handicap is +0.75 the spread will be +0.25. This spread is positive because it is in favor of the favorite team and the prediction will be stronger.

By default we insert the 3 main bookmakers namely Bet365 , Pinnacle and Sbobet . If you want just one bookmaker, two etc. just select or deselect the bookmakers by clicking on Selection at the top. For the Asian bookmaker 188bet the odds available are only those on the day of the match. It is advisable to use it with caution as the opening is not the correct one.

The filter allows you to quickly find any league, match or result by writing what you want to search for inside the rectangle above your desired selection.

Nb If the filter does not give you results, reload the page and search again. It's a browser problem that needs to reload all the data even if it's present.

Current

Current or current value

HC ⇒ Current or pre-match handicap if match has started. Once the match has started this will be the definitive one and kept on the site as a value.

Odds: H ⇒ house odds; A ⇒ travel fee; Time: recording date of current values

Open

Open is market opening value

HC ⇒ Market Opening Handicap. Value processed by the software or quote dealer. It is the first value recorded on the market.

Odds : H ⇒ house odds; A ⇒ travel fee; Time: date of recording of opening values

Sprd ⇒ spread value: difference between under/over market opening and current market

C ⇒ current under/over market

O ⇒ under/over market opening

Goal Line

Goal reference market. The under/over market is entered with the odds around the value 2.0. If the market rises (positive) from the opening value to the current value, it means that more goals are expected; if it decreases (minus sign) it means that fewer goals are expected. This value is to be taken into consideration for live.

Q. Over

Goal line market over odds

C ⇒ current under/over market share

O ⇒ market over share under/over current opening

Q. Under

Goal line under market odds

C ⇒ share under current under/over market

O ⇒ under/over opening market share

Prone Basic

Basic prediction made with the asianodds prediction table available on the bettingexchange.net website

The colored predictions (which are then inserted for convenience and speed of search are those present in the predictions window) are the strongest and most reliable ones. To be "colored" there must be at least two bookmakers with the same prediction. The predictions are not fixed but change as the odds, the spread and the Asian handicap vary. After the match has started, the parameters are "set" and you will also find the prediction in the following days on the site.

Nb.: In the last 15 minutes before the start of the match the odds can vary considerably, causing the previously entered prediction to change. It is suggested to look at the prediction a few minutes before the start of the match.

1 x 2 Current

Odds of the current 1 x 2 signs for the bookmaker that you find in the left column and which are Bet365, Pinnacle, Sbobet and 188bet. The odds are the current ones until the match starts: after it has started the value is fixed and becomes the pre-match odds.

1 x 2 Open

Opening odds of 1 x 2 signs, i.e., the first odds that the bookmaker inserts for the final outcome market.

1 x 2 Drops

These are the values in percentage terms of the variation for the 1 x 2 signs: difference between opening price and current price.

In particular we have:

• If positive there was a drop in odds. If the odds go from 2.00 start and go to current 1.50 there will be a drop in odds with a + sign
• If negative, the current price will be greater than the opening price. For example, if it goes from 2.00 to 2.50 the sign will be – and the odds will have risen.